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Balance of Payments
Briefly speaking balance of payment is a summary of all economic transactions between the residents (households, firms and the government agencies) of a country and the rest of the world, during a period of time, usually one year. The economic transactions between a country and the rest of the world are categorized under: (a) current account transactions, and (b) capital account transactions.
The current account transactions include current receipt and payments on account of (i) exports and imports of goods and services, (ii) tourism services, (iii) transportation and insurance services, (iii) foreign investment incomes and payments (iv) private transfer payments, including inter-personal inter-bank payments, and (v) inter-government transfer payments (gifts, donations pensions, etc,). The current account transactions may have a surplus or a deficit.)
The capital account transactions include (i) the balance of trade, (II) commercial borrowings (iii) external assistance, (iv) IMF borrowings, (v) non-residents deposits, (vi) foreign direct and portfolio investment and (vii) debt servicing. The capital account may show a surplus or deficit depending on whether capital inflows are greater or smaller than capital outflows. The capital accounts balance is reflected by the change in gold and foreign exchange reserves.
Derivation of the BOP function
To derive the BOP function, let us make some simplifying assumptions. One we assume a small country case in which the imbalance in balance of trade (BOT) does not affect the BOP of other countries. TWO exchange rate remains fixed and therefore the relative prices between the nations remains undisturbed. Three, relative prices between any two nations remain constant.
The BOP equilibrium may thus be expressed as
BOP = X – M – K = 0, (if X > M)
BOP = X – M + K = 0, (if X < M)
Where X = exports; M = imports; and K = net capital transfers including government transfers,
The variables X and M in Eq. are defined in the functional form as given below.
X = X
M = M + m Y
Capital outflows and inflows
The net capital outflow is an inverse function of the domestic interest rate. With this kind of capital transfers and the interest rate, the net capital outflow (K0) may be written in a functional form as
Ko = K (i)
Where, K < 0 and ∆K0 / ∆I > 0
We can now specify the BOP function in terms of X, M and K functions as given below
BOP = X – (M + mY) – K (i)
It may be noticed that, given the exports and exchange rate, the BOP becomes a function of y and I (percent).
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The current account transactions include current receipt and payments on account of (i) exports and imports of goods and services, (ii) tourism services, (iii) transportation and insurance services, (iii) foreign investment incomes and payments (iv) private transfer payments, including inter-personal inter-bank payments, and (v) inter-government transfer payments (gifts, donations pensions, etc,). The current account transactions may have a surplus or a deficit.)
The capital account transactions include (i) the balance of trade, (II) commercial borrowings (iii) external assistance, (iv) IMF borrowings, (v) non-residents deposits, (vi) foreign direct and portfolio investment and (vii) debt servicing. The capital account may show a surplus or deficit depending on whether capital inflows are greater or smaller than capital outflows. The capital accounts balance is reflected by the change in gold and foreign exchange reserves.
Derivation of the BOP function
To derive the BOP function, let us make some simplifying assumptions. One we assume a small country case in which the imbalance in balance of trade (BOT) does not affect the BOP of other countries. TWO exchange rate remains fixed and therefore the relative prices between the nations remains undisturbed. Three, relative prices between any two nations remain constant.
The BOP equilibrium may thus be expressed as
BOP = X – M – K = 0, (if X > M)
BOP = X – M + K = 0, (if X < M)
Where X = exports; M = imports; and K = net capital transfers including government transfers,
The variables X and M in Eq. are defined in the functional form as given below.
X = X
M = M + m Y
Capital outflows and inflows
The net capital outflow is an inverse function of the domestic interest rate. With this kind of capital transfers and the interest rate, the net capital outflow (K0) may be written in a functional form as
Ko = K (i)
Where, K < 0 and ∆K0 / ∆I > 0
We can now specify the BOP function in terms of X, M and K functions as given below
BOP = X – (M + mY) – K (i)
It may be noticed that, given the exports and exchange rate, the BOP becomes a function of y and I (percent).
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